Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 7.680296 8.459588 9.306668 10.299699 11.436847 12.704170 14.231522
2026-01-25 6.501608 7.506968 8.670863 10.130960 11.932205 14.106233 16.966935
2026-02-01 5.792968 6.902527 8.242984 10.005673 12.299198 15.235239 19.367556
2026-02-08 5.256961 6.417949 7.867955 9.847524 12.537282 16.153675 21.546025
2026-02-15 4.815977 5.997146 7.513190 9.648677 12.659072 16.882454 23.511615
2026-02-22 4.505556 5.711194 7.297306 9.596466 12.950588 17.849934 25.933070
2026-03-01 4.149584 5.333415 6.921296 9.276035 12.807353 18.138709 27.308688
2026-03-08 3.797498 4.935259 6.485256 8.826627 12.418203 17.991294 27.920487
2026-03-15 3.575897 4.702132 6.262020 8.665475 12.443835 18.486081 29.682931
2026-03-22 3.632832 4.861358 6.605674 9.375303 13.896707 21.476155 36.434340
2026-03-29 3.543562 4.802981 6.624095 9.581092 14.547903 23.181414 41.087578
2026-04-05 3.350118 4.580415 6.381694 9.351839 14.440530 23.514738 43.018424
2026-04-12 3.269857 4.526338 6.398980 9.556093 15.123542 25.433412 48.817502
2026-04-19 3.110742 4.344894 6.208247 9.401351 15.154335 26.115225 52.026939
2026-04-26 2.974538 4.190771 6.050257 9.287818 15.245357 26.922410 55.712426
2026-05-03 2.842914 4.036783 5.882964 9.144380 15.263669 27.579002 59.179057
2026-05-10 2.713656 3.880164 5.702451 8.963931 15.192067 28.033498 62.231378
2026-05-17 2.620395 3.775829 5.601311 8.916532 15.374274 29.061665 67.119686
2026-05-24 2.486362 3.600632 5.374025 8.625464 15.042177 28.894054 68.546965
2026-05-31 2.338313 3.397455 5.091328 8.216733 14.438830 28.037372 67.744371
2026-06-07 2.247687 3.283852 4.954498 8.070020 14.364466 28.412482 70.853284
2026-06-14 2.303187 3.410228 5.230791 8.715668 16.018298 33.200349 89.895199
2026-06-21 2.275672 3.397800 5.266259 8.902574 16.703701 35.705160 102.261591